⚽Goletrics

Multi-match analysis

Statistical analysis of the weekly 14-match list published in Mexico. Matches are drawn from leagues worldwide; those outside our coverage are shown without data.

Closed Sat, 12 Sept 2026 03:00

Final — review

This week's combinations

14-match list

5D + 2T·$4,320 MXN

7-match list

3D + 2T·$360 MXN

Combined cost

$4,680 MXN

ⓘ Goletrics is not a gaming operator. Goletrics does not accept wagers, sell entries, or take payments for participation of any kind, and has no commercial affiliation with any lottery, gaming or betting operator. This page provides statistical analysis for informational purposes only.

14-match list

Cost limit:
Highest probability of 13+ correctHighest probability of 14 correct

5D + 2T

288 variants · $4,320 MXN

≥13/14:1.2%
14/14:0.1%
Per $1,000:0.3
Highest probability per $1,000

0D + 0T

1 variants · $15 MXN

≥13/14:0.0%
14/14:0.0%
Per $1,000:0.6
All doubles, no triples

8D + 0T

256 variants · $3,840 MXN

≥13/14:1.0%
14/14:0.1%
Per $1,000:0.3

Alternative combinations

▶★0D + 0T$15
1 variants≥13/14: 0.0%14/14: 0.0%Per $1k: 0.6
▶0D + 5T$3,645
243 variants≥13/14: 0.8%14/14: 0.1%Per $1k: 0.2
▶★8D + 0T$3,840
256 variants≥13/14: 1.0%14/14: 0.1%Per $1k: 0.3
▶★5D + 2T$4,320
288 variants≥13/14: 1.2%14/14: 0.1%Per $1k: 0.3
▶2D + 4T$4,860
324 variants≥13/14: 1.1%14/14: 0.1%Per $1k: 0.2

ⓘ Combined registration is coming soon. For now, you can register selections individually by tapping into each match.

Match analysis (14 matches)

Match 1 · Liga MXSat 12 Sept 03:00

Atlante FC (1) vs. CF Pachuca (2)

0 – 3
1: 23.1%X: 38.5%2: 38.5%
Match 2 · Liga MXSun 13 Sept 03:15

Cruz Azul (1) vs. Club America (2)

4 – 3
1: 40.0%X: 20.0%2: 40.0%
Match 3 · Liga MXMon 14 Sept 01:07

Guadalajara Chivas (1) vs. U.N.A.M. - Pumas (2)

3 – 0
1: 43.3%X: 30.0%2: 26.7%
Match 4 · Liga MX FemenilSat 12 Sept 23:07

Guadalajara W Femenil (1) vs. Monterrey W Femenil (2)

2 – 3
1: 38.5%X: 26.9%2: 34.6%
Match 5 · Liga MX FemenilSun 13 Sept 18:00

Puebla W Femenil (1) vs. Querétaro W Femenil (2)

2 – 6
1: 46.1%X: 15.4%2: 38.5%
Match 6

Match details unavailable

⚠️ No data

1: 33.3%X: 33.3%2: 33.3%
Match 7 · Premier LeagueSat 12 Sept 14:00

Bournemouth (1) vs. Brentford (2)

2 – 2
1: 25.0%X: 54.2%2: 20.8%
Match 8 · Premier LeagueSun 13 Sept 15:30

Manchester United (1) vs. Manchester City (2)

0 – 1
1: 43.3%X: 20.0%2: 36.7%
Match 9 · Serie ASat 12 Sept 16:00

Lazio (1) vs. AC Milan (2)

2 – 2
1: 40.0%X: 20.0%2: 40.0%
Match 10 · BundesligaSat 12 Sept 13:30

1899 Hoffenheim (1) vs. VfB Stuttgart (2)

2 – 1
1: 40.0%X: 36.7%2: 23.3%
Match 11 · Ligue 1Sat 12 Sept 18:45

Lorient (1) vs. Toulouse (2)

2 – 2
1: 33.3%X: 30.0%2: 36.7%
Match 12 · Campeonato Brasileiro Série ASun 13 Sept 00:00

Santos (1) vs. Cruzeiro (2)

2 – 1
1: 43.3%X: 10.0%2: 46.7%
Match 13 · Argentine Liga ProfesionalSun 13 Sept 17:45

Tigre (1) vs. Rosario Central (2)

0 – 1
1: 33.3%X: 41.7%2: 25.0%
Match 14 · MLSSun 13 Sept 02:30

San Jose Earthquakes (1) vs. Houston Dynamo (2)

1 – 0
1: 33.3%X: 23.3%2: 43.3%

7-match list

Cost limit:
Highest probability of 6+ correctHighest probability of 7 correct

3D + 2T

72 variants · $360 MXN

≥6/7:53.0%
7/7:15.0%
Per $1,000:147.3
Highest probability per $1,000

0D + 0T

1 variants · $5 MXN

≥6/7:4.4%
7/7:0.5%
Per $1,000:870.3
All doubles, no triples

3D + 0T

8 variants · $40 MXN

≥6/7:18.6%
7/7:3.1%
Per $1,000:463.9

Alternative combinations

▶★0D + 0T$5
1 variants≥6/7: 4.4%7/7: 0.5%Per $1k: 870.3
▶★3D + 0T$40
8 variants≥6/7: 18.6%7/7: 3.1%Per $1k: 463.9
▶★3D + 2T$360
72 variants≥6/7: 53.0%7/7: 15.0%Per $1k: 147.3

ⓘ Combined registration is coming soon. For now, you can register selections individually by tapping into each match.

Match analysis (7 matches)

Match 1 · Liga MXSat 12 Sept 03:10

Club Tijuana (1) vs. Club Queretaro (2)

0 – 1
1: 43.3%X: 36.7%2: 20.0%
Match 2 · Liga MXSat 12 Sept 23:05

Toluca (1) vs. Atlas (2)

5 – 2
1: 50.0%X: 20.0%2: 30.0%
Match 3 · Liga MXSun 13 Sept 01:10

Monterrey (1) vs. Tigres UANL (2)

0 – 0
1: 50.0%X: 23.3%2: 26.7%
Match 4 · Liga MXMon 14 Sept 01:00

Santos Laguna (1) vs. FC Juarez (2)

2 – 1
1: 51.9%X: 22.2%2: 25.9%
Match 5 · La LigaSat 12 Sept 12:00

Racing Santander (1) vs. Alaves (2)

2 – 1
1: 33.3%X: 41.7%2: 25.0%
Match 6 · Premier LeagueSat 12 Sept 14:00

Aston Villa (1) vs. Nottingham Forest (2)

1 – 2
1: 45.8%X: 12.5%2: 41.7%
Match 7 · Ligue 1Sat 12 Sept 15:15

Strasbourg (1) vs. Monaco (2)

1 – 1
1: 37.9%X: 17.2%2: 44.8%
ⓘAbout these probabilities

Each match's probabilities come from three independent datasets: the home team's last 10 home matches in their domestic league, the away team's last 10 away matches, and head-to-head results at the home venue across all seasons. We compute three estimates of P(1) / P(X) / P(2) and combine them via a sample-size-weighted average.

For combination-level numbers (the 14/14 and ≥13/14 probabilities), we assume per-match outcomes are independent and compute the Poisson binomial distribution across all 14 (or 7) matches. The independence assumption is approximate — weather, schedule fatigue, and tournament dynamics introduce correlations our model doesn't capture.

Small samples can produce extreme probabilities. When a team has fewer than 5 total historical matches across all three datasets, we default to a roughly uniform 33/33/33 prediction and flag the match as "Limited data" or "No data". This avoids overconfident estimates from thin data. The optimizer naturally favors assigning these matches as triples (covering all three outcomes) where the rules allow.

Regular season only. Cups, friendlies and knockout rounds are excluded — playoffs, play-in, promotion and relegation rounds, and their equivalents in other leagues. Real-world accuracy over time may run lower than the model projects.

Goletrics is not a gaming operator. Goletrics does not accept wagers, sell entries, or take payments for participation of any kind, and has no commercial affiliation with any lottery, gaming or betting operator. This page provides statistical analysis for informational purposes only.